Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath
Model pick: Bonnyrigg Rose (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.17 – 0.22
Total goals: 6.4
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Hill Of Beath |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Bonnyrigg Rose shown at home, Hill Of Beath shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bonnyrigg Rose — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Hill Of Beath — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bonnyrigg Rose (home) | Hill Of Beath (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.17 vs 0.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Bonnyrigg Rose or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Hill Of Beath or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Bonnyrigg Rose clean sheet | 80% |
| Hill Of Beath clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bonnyrigg Rose is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Bonnyrigg Rose are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.4, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath — FAQ
Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath?
Our statistical model makes Bonnyrigg Rose the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Bonnyrigg Rose 99%, draw 1%, Hill Of Beath 0%.
Will both teams score in Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath?
Expected goals are 6.17 for Bonnyrigg Rose and 0.22 for Hill Of Beath — about 6.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-0 (16%). Double chance for Bonnyrigg Rose or draw is 100%.