Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II
Model pick: Koln II (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.97 – 1.45
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Borussia Dortmund II | Koln II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 3.0 / 1.25 |
*Borussia Dortmund II shown at home, Koln II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund II — last 5
WLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Koln II — last 5
WWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Borussia Dortmund II (home) | Koln II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.97 vs 1.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Borussia Dortmund II or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Koln II or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Borussia Dortmund II clean sheet | 23% |
| Koln II clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Koln II is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Koln II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II — FAQ
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II?
Our statistical model makes Koln II the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Borussia Dortmund II 26%, draw 28%, Koln II 46%.
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II?
Expected goals are 0.97 for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.45 for Koln II — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund II vs Koln II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Borussia Dortmund II or draw is 52%.