Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II
Model pick: Borussia Dortmund II (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.97 – 0.85
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Borussia Dortmund II | Schalke II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
*Borussia Dortmund II shown at home, Schalke II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund II — last 5
WDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Schalke II — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Borussia Dortmund II (home) | Schalke II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.97 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Borussia Dortmund II or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Schalke II or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Borussia Dortmund II clean sheet | 43% |
| Schalke II clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Borussia Dortmund II is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Borussia Dortmund II are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II — FAQ
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II?
Our statistical model makes Borussia Dortmund II the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Borussia Dortmund II 85%, draw 10%, Schalke II 6%.
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II?
Expected goals are 3.97 for Borussia Dortmund II and 0.85 for Schalke II — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (9%). Double chance for Borussia Dortmund II or draw is 96%.