Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
Model pick: Draw (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.4 – 0.49
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Botev Ihtiman | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
*Botev Ihtiman shown at home, CSKA Sofia III shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Botev Ihtiman — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
CSKA Sofia III — last 5
DDDD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Botev Ihtiman (home) | CSKA Sofia III (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.4 vs 0.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (41%) |
| Double chance — Botev Ihtiman or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — CSKA Sofia III or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 50% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Botev Ihtiman clean sheet | 61% |
| CSKA Sofia III clean sheet | 67% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III — FAQ
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Botev Ihtiman 23%, draw 47%, CSKA Sofia III 30%.
Will both teams score in Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
Expected goals are 0.4 for Botev Ihtiman and 0.49 for CSKA Sofia III — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (41%). Double chance for Botev Ihtiman or draw is 72%.