Brøndby vs Randers Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Brøndby vs Randers
Model pick: Brøndby (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.67 – 0.94
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brøndby | Randers |
|---|
| League position | #3 (13 pts) | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Brøndby shown at home, Randers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brøndby — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Randers — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brøndby (home) | Randers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Nicolai Vallys (7) | Elies Mahmoud (5) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.67 vs 0.94):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Brøndby or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Randers or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Brøndby clean sheet | 39% |
| Randers clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Brøndby is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Brøndby are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brøndby vs Randers — FAQ
Who will win Brøndby vs Randers?
Our statistical model makes Brøndby the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Brøndby 58%, draw 23%, Randers 19%.
Will both teams score in Brøndby vs Randers?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brøndby vs Randers?
Expected goals are 1.67 for Brøndby and 0.94 for Randers — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brøndby vs Randers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Brøndby or draw is 79%.