Brøndby vs SønderjyskE Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Brøndby vs SønderjyskE
Model pick: Brøndby (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.84 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brøndby | SønderjyskE |
|---|
| League position | #1 (7 pts) | #10 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Brøndby shown at home, SønderjyskE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brøndby — last 5
WLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
SønderjyskE — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brøndby (home) | SønderjyskE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Nicolai Vallys (7) | Matthew Hoppe (6) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.84 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Brøndby or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Brøndby clean sheet | 38% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Brøndby is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Brøndby are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brøndby vs SønderjyskE — FAQ
Who will win Brøndby vs SønderjyskE?
Our statistical model makes Brøndby the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Brøndby 60%, draw 22%, SønderjyskE 18%.
Will both teams score in Brøndby vs SønderjyskE?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brøndby vs SønderjyskE?
Expected goals are 1.84 for Brøndby and 0.98 for SønderjyskE — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brøndby vs SønderjyskE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for Brøndby or draw is 80%.