Bradford City vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Preview
League One (England) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (ENGLAND)
Bradford City vs Mansfield Town
Model pick: Bradford City (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bradford City | Mansfield Town |
|---|
| League position | #6 (6 pts) | #5 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.0 / 2.6 |
*Bradford City shown at home, Mansfield Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bradford City — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Mansfield Town — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bradford City (home) | Mansfield Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Antoni Sarcevic (11) | – |
League One (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these League One (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Bradford City or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Mansfield Town or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Bradford City clean sheet | 37% |
| Mansfield Town clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bradford City is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Bradford City are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bradford City vs Mansfield Town — FAQ
Who will win Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?
Our statistical model makes Bradford City the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Bradford City 46%, draw 28%, Mansfield Town 26%.
Will both teams score in Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Bradford City and 0.99 for Mansfield Town — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Bradford City or draw is 71%.