Brage vs Landskrona Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Brage vs Landskrona
Model pick: Brage (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.19
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brage | Landskrona |
|---|
| League position | #13 (16 pts) | #4 (25 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 2.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 14% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Brage shown at home, Landskrona shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brage — last 5
WWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Landskrona — last 5
WDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brage (home) | Landskrona (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-3-3 in 7 (2.3 / 2.4 goals per game) | 4-1-3 in 8 (1.5 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Felix Horberg (2) | Adam Egnell (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Brage or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Landskrona or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Brage clean sheet | 30% |
| Landskrona clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Brage is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Brage are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brage vs Landskrona — FAQ
Who will win Brage vs Landskrona?
Our statistical model makes Brage the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Brage 41%, draw 26%, Landskrona 33%.
Will both teams score in Brage vs Landskrona?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brage vs Landskrona?
Expected goals are 1.63 for Brage and 1.19 for Landskrona — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brage vs Landskrona?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Brage or draw is 72%.