Braintree Town vs Horsham FC Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Braintree Town vs Horsham FC
Model pick: Braintree Town (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Braintree Town | Horsham FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Braintree Town shown at home, Horsham FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Braintree Town — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsham FC — last 5
WLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Braintree Town (home) | Horsham FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 38% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Braintree Town or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Braintree Town clean sheet | 39% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Braintree Town is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Braintree Town are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Braintree Town vs Horsham FC — FAQ
Who will win Braintree Town vs Horsham FC?
Our statistical model makes Braintree Town the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Braintree Town 38%, draw 31%, Horsham FC 31%.
Will both teams score in Braintree Town vs Horsham FC?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Braintree Town vs Horsham FC?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Braintree Town and 0.95 for Horsham FC — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Braintree Town vs Horsham FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Braintree Town or draw is 69%.