Bremer vs Emden Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bremer vs Emden
Model pick: Emden (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 2.04
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bremer | Emden |
|---|
| League position | #14 (5 pts) | #12 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.5 | 3.0 / 4.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 3.0 |
*Bremer shown at home, Emden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bremer — last 5
WDLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Emden — last 5
WLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bremer (home) | Emden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-2 in 4 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-2-1 in 3 (3.0 / 4.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 2.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Bremer or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Emden or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Bremer clean sheet | 13% |
| Emden clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Emden is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Emden edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bremer vs Emden — FAQ
Who will win Bremer vs Emden?
Our statistical model makes Emden the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Bremer 26%, draw 23%, Emden 51%.
Will both teams score in Bremer vs Emden?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bremer vs Emden?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Bremer and 2.04 for Emden — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bremer vs Emden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Bremer or draw is 45%.