Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck
Model pick: Phonix Lubeck (67%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 1.72
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bremer | Phonix Lubeck |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 2.75 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Bremer shown at home, Phonix Lubeck shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bremer — last 5
DLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Phonix Lubeck — last 5
DLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bremer (home) | Phonix Lubeck (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.38
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — Bremer or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Phonix Lubeck or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Bremer clean sheet | 18% |
| Phonix Lubeck clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Phonix Lubeck is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Despite playing away, Phonix Lubeck edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck — FAQ
Who will win Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck?
Our statistical model makes Phonix Lubeck the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Bremer 9%, draw 24%, Phonix Lubeck 67%.
Will both teams score in Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Bremer and 1.72 for Phonix Lubeck — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bremer vs Phonix Lubeck?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for Bremer or draw is 28%.