Brodd vs Stabaek 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Brodd vs Stabaek 2
Model pick: Stabaek 2 (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.16 – 6.52
Total goals: 8.7
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brodd | Stabaek 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Brodd shown at home, Stabaek 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brodd — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Stabaek 2 — last 5
D
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brodd (home) | Stabaek 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.16 vs 6.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-6 (5%) |
| Double chance — Brodd or draw (1X) | 11% |
| Double chance — Stabaek 2 or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Brodd clean sheet | 0% |
| Stabaek 2 clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stabaek 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Despite playing away, Stabaek 2 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.7, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brodd vs Stabaek 2 — FAQ
Who will win Brodd vs Stabaek 2?
Our statistical model makes Stabaek 2 the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Brodd 7%, draw 7%, Stabaek 2 86%.
Will both teams score in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?
Expected goals are 2.16 for Brodd and 6.52 for Stabaek 2 — about 8.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brodd vs Stabaek 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-6 (5%). Double chance for Brodd or draw is 11%.