Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors Prediction & Preview
Allsvenskan (Sweden) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ALLSVENSKAN (SWEDEN)
Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors
Model pick: Brommapojkarna (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.65 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brommapojkarna | Degerfors |
|---|
| League position | #10 (21 pts) | #14 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Brommapojkarna shown at home, Degerfors shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brommapojkarna — last 5
LDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Degerfors — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brommapojkarna (home) | Degerfors (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-3-3 in 8 (1.4 / 1.4 goals per game) | 2-2-4 in 8 (1.0 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 52% |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Allsvenskan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.65 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Brommapojkarna or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Degerfors or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Brommapojkarna clean sheet | 29% |
| Degerfors clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Brommapojkarna is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Brommapojkarna are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors — FAQ
Who will win Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?
Our statistical model makes Brommapojkarna the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Brommapojkarna 46%, draw 26%, Degerfors 28%.
Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?
Expected goals are 1.65 for Brommapojkarna and 1.25 for Degerfors — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Brommapojkarna or draw is 71%.