Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh
Model pick: Pittsburgh (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.89 – 1.42
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brooklyn | Pittsburgh |
|---|
| League position | #12 (13 pts) | #5 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*Brooklyn shown at home, Pittsburgh shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brooklyn — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pittsburgh — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brooklyn (home) | Pittsburgh (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-5 in 8 (0.8 / 1.0 goals per game) | 3-2-4 in 9 (1.0 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 47%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.89 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Brooklyn or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Pittsburgh or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Brooklyn clean sheet | 24% |
| Pittsburgh clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pittsburgh is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Pittsburgh edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh — FAQ
Who will win Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh?
Our statistical model makes Pittsburgh the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Brooklyn 30%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh 41%.
Will both teams score in Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh?
Expected goals are 0.89 for Brooklyn and 1.42 for Pittsburgh — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Brooklyn or draw is 51%.