Brzeg vs Rakow II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Brzeg vs Rakow II
Model pick: Rakow II (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.19 – 2.28
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Brzeg | Rakow II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 3.0 |
*Brzeg shown at home, Rakow II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Brzeg — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 20% of home games go over 2.5.
Rakow II — last 5
DLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Brzeg (home) | Rakow II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.19 vs 2.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Brzeg or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Rakow II or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Brzeg clean sheet | 10% |
| Rakow II clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rakow II is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Rakow II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Brzeg vs Rakow II — FAQ
Who will win Brzeg vs Rakow II?
Our statistical model makes Rakow II the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Brzeg 21%, draw 22%, Rakow II 58%.
Will both teams score in Brzeg vs Rakow II?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Brzeg vs Rakow II?
Expected goals are 1.19 for Brzeg and 2.28 for Rakow II — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Brzeg vs Rakow II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Brzeg or draw is 38%.