Buchbach vs Aubstadt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Buchbach vs Aubstadt
Model pick: Aubstadt (95%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.74 – 11.09
Total goals: 13.8
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Buchbach | Aubstadt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 |
*Buchbach shown at home, Aubstadt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Buchbach — last 5
DDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Aubstadt — last 5
LWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Buchbach (home) | Aubstadt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.74 vs 11.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-8 (9%) |
| Double chance — Buchbach or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — Aubstadt or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Buchbach clean sheet | 0% |
| Aubstadt clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aubstadt is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Despite playing away, Aubstadt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Buchbach vs Aubstadt — FAQ
Who will win Buchbach vs Aubstadt?
Our statistical model makes Aubstadt the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Buchbach 2%, draw 3%, Aubstadt 95%.
Will both teams score in Buchbach vs Aubstadt?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Buchbach vs Aubstadt?
Expected goals are 2.74 for Buchbach and 11.09 for Aubstadt — about 13.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Buchbach vs Aubstadt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-8 (9%). Double chance for Buchbach or draw is 6%.