Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors
Model pick: Jeonbuk Motors (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.47
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bucheon 1995 | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|
| League position | #11 (24 pts) | #3 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.0 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 9% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
*Bucheon 1995 shown at home, Jeonbuk Motors shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bucheon 1995 — last 5
LDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Jeonbuk Motors — last 5
LDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bucheon 1995 (home) | Jeonbuk Motors (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-5-5 in 11 (0.8 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-5-2 in 11 (1.0 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 48% |
| Top scorer | – | Seung-Woo Lee (3) |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Bucheon 1995 or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Jeonbuk Motors or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Bucheon 1995 clean sheet | 23% |
| Jeonbuk Motors clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jeonbuk Motors is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Jeonbuk Motors edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors — FAQ
Who will win Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our statistical model makes Jeonbuk Motors the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Bucheon 1995 26%, draw 26%, Jeonbuk Motors 48%.
Will both teams score in Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Bucheon 1995 and 1.47 for Jeonbuk Motors — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Bucheon 1995 or draw is 60%.