Buckley vs Guilsfield Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Buckley vs Guilsfield
Model pick: Guilsfield (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 2.81
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Buckley | Guilsfield |
|---|
| League position | #14 (1 pts) | #7 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 1.25 | 1.75 / 1.5 |
*Buckley shown at home, Guilsfield shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Buckley — last 5
LLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Guilsfield — last 5
DWDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Buckley (home) | Guilsfield (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.5 / 2.5 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 2.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (17%) |
| Double chance — Buckley or draw (1X) | 12% |
| Double chance — Guilsfield or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Buckley clean sheet | 6% |
| Guilsfield clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guilsfield is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Despite playing away, Guilsfield edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Buckley vs Guilsfield — FAQ
Who will win Buckley vs Guilsfield?
Our statistical model makes Guilsfield the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Buckley 4%, draw 13%, Guilsfield 83%.
Will both teams score in Buckley vs Guilsfield?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Buckley vs Guilsfield?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Buckley and 2.81 for Guilsfield — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Buckley vs Guilsfield?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (17%). Double chance for Buckley or draw is 12%.