Buckley vs Penrhyncoch Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Buckley vs Penrhyncoch
Model pick: Buckley (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 0.69
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Buckley | Penrhyncoch |
|---|
| League position | #11 (4 pts) | #15 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 3.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 0.75 / 3.0 |
*Buckley shown at home, Penrhyncoch shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Buckley — last 5
LLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Penrhyncoch — last 5
LLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Buckley (home) | Penrhyncoch (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-1 in 3 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 3.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.53
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Buckley or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Penrhyncoch or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Buckley clean sheet | 50% |
| Penrhyncoch clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Buckley is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Buckley are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Buckley vs Penrhyncoch — FAQ
Who will win Buckley vs Penrhyncoch?
Our statistical model makes Buckley the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Buckley 50%, draw 29%, Penrhyncoch 21%.
Will both teams score in Buckley vs Penrhyncoch?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Buckley vs Penrhyncoch?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Buckley and 0.69 for Penrhyncoch — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Buckley vs Penrhyncoch?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Buckley or draw is 81%.