Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC
Model pick: Budafoki MTE (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.87 – 0.77
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Budafoki MTE | PTE-PEAC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Budafoki MTE shown at home, PTE-PEAC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Budafoki MTE — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 6% of the time; 76% of home games go over 2.5.
PTE-PEAC — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Budafoki MTE (home) | PTE-PEAC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 6% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.87 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Budafoki MTE or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — PTE-PEAC or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Budafoki MTE clean sheet | 46% |
| PTE-PEAC clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Budafoki MTE is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Budafoki MTE are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC — FAQ
Who will win Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC?
Our statistical model makes Budafoki MTE the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Budafoki MTE 59%, draw 24%, PTE-PEAC 17%.
Will both teams score in Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC?
Expected goals are 1.87 for Budafoki MTE and 0.77 for PTE-PEAC — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Budafoki MTE vs PTE-PEAC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Budafoki MTE or draw is 85%.