Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) ยท Aug 26, 2026 ยท kickoff 15:30 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi
Model pick: Budafoki MTE (74%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.51 โ 0.01
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 12%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Budafoki MTE | Szekszardi |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
*Budafoki MTE shown at home, Szekszardi shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Budafoki MTE โ last 5
LLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 11% of the time; 72% of home games go over 2.5.
Szekszardi โ last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Budafoki MTE (home) | Szekszardi (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 11% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.51 vs 0.01):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (33%) |
| Double chance โ Budafoki MTE or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance โ Szekszardi or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Budafoki MTE clean sheet | 99% |
| Szekszardi clean sheet | 22% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Budafoki MTE is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Budafoki MTE are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi โ FAQ
Who will win Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi?
Our statistical model makes Budafoki MTE the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Budafoki MTE 74%, draw 26%, Szekszardi 1%.
Will both teams score in Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi?
Expected goals are 1.51 for Budafoki MTE and 0.01 for Szekszardi โ about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Budafoki MTE vs Szekszardi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (33%). Double chance for Budafoki MTE or draw is 100%.