Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) ยท Aug 29, 2026 ยท kickoff 15:30 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE
Model pick: Budaorsi SC (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.96 โ 0.64
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 42%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Budaorsi SC | Budafoki MTE |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Budaorsi SC shown at home, Budafoki MTE shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Budaorsi SC โ last 5
LDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Budafoki MTE โ last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Budaorsi SC (home) | Budafoki MTE (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 58% |
Nb III (Hungary) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (20%) |
| Double chance โ Budaorsi SC or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance โ Budafoki MTE or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Budaorsi SC clean sheet | 53% |
| Budafoki MTE clean sheet | 38% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Budaorsi SC is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Budaorsi SC are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE โ FAQ
Who will win Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE?
Our statistical model makes Budaorsi SC the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Budaorsi SC 40%, draw 35%, Budafoki MTE 25%.
Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Budaorsi SC and 0.64 for Budafoki MTE โ about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Budaorsi SC vs Budafoki MTE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (20%). Double chance for Budaorsi SC or draw is 76%.