Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II
Model pick: MTK Budapest II (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 24.22
Total goals: 25.0
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 3%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Budaorsi SC | MTK Budapest II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.67 | 6.0 / 1.0 |
*Budaorsi SC shown at home, MTK Budapest II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Budaorsi SC — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
MTK Budapest II — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Budaorsi SC (home) | MTK Budapest II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 24.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (33%) |
| Double chance — Budaorsi SC or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — MTK Budapest II or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Budaorsi SC clean sheet | 0% |
| MTK Budapest II clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
MTK Budapest II is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, MTK Budapest II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II — FAQ
Who will win Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II?
Our statistical model makes MTK Budapest II the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Budaorsi SC 0%, draw 0%, MTK Budapest II 100%.
Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II?
The model gives a 3% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II?
Expected goals are 0.74 for Budaorsi SC and 24.22 for MTK Budapest II — about 25.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Budaorsi SC vs MTK Budapest II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (33%). Double chance for Budaorsi SC or draw is 0%.