Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912 Prediction & Preview
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) · Aug 20, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OLIY LIGA (UZBEKISTAN)
Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912
Model pick: Bunyodkor (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.91
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bunyodkor | Kokand-1912 |
|---|
| League position | #13 (19 pts) | #15 (12 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Bunyodkor shown at home, Kokand-1912 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bunyodkor — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Kokand-1912 — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bunyodkor (home) | Kokand-1912 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-6 in 8 (1.1 / 1.8 goals per game) | 0-4-5 in 9 (0.8 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 48% |
Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Oliy Liga (Uzbekistan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Bunyodkor or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Kokand-1912 or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Bunyodkor clean sheet | 40% |
| Kokand-1912 clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bunyodkor is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Bunyodkor are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912 — FAQ
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912?
Our statistical model makes Bunyodkor the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Bunyodkor 52%, draw 26%, Kokand-1912 22%.
Will both teams score in Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912?
Expected goals are 1.7 for Bunyodkor and 0.91 for Kokand-1912 — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bunyodkor vs Kokand-1912?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Bunyodkor or draw is 80%.