Burghausen vs Vilzing Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Burghausen vs Vilzing
Model pick: Burghausen (34%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.97 – 0.96
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Burghausen | Vilzing |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Burghausen shown at home, Vilzing shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Burghausen — last 5
WWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Vilzing — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Burghausen (home) | Vilzing (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.97 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Burghausen or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Vilzing or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Burghausen clean sheet | 38% |
| Vilzing clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Burghausen is the model's most likely outcome at
34%. Burghausen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Burghausen vs Vilzing — FAQ
Who will win Burghausen vs Vilzing?
Our statistical model makes Burghausen the most likely result at 34%. Full probabilities: Burghausen 34%, draw 32%, Vilzing 34%.
Will both teams score in Burghausen vs Vilzing?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Burghausen vs Vilzing?
Expected goals are 0.97 for Burghausen and 0.96 for Vilzing — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Burghausen vs Vilzing?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (15%). Double chance for Burghausen or draw is 66%.