Bury vs Warrington Rylands Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Bury vs Warrington Rylands
Model pick: Bury (80%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.19 – 0.17
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bury | Warrington Rylands |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Bury shown at home, Warrington Rylands shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bury — last 5
WLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Warrington Rylands — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bury (home) | Warrington Rylands (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 33% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.19 vs 0.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Bury or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Warrington Rylands or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Bury clean sheet | 84% |
| Warrington Rylands clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bury is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Bury are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bury vs Warrington Rylands — FAQ
Who will win Bury vs Warrington Rylands?
Our statistical model makes Bury the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Bury 80%, draw 17%, Warrington Rylands 3%.
Will both teams score in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?
Expected goals are 2.19 for Bury and 0.17 for Warrington Rylands — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bury vs Warrington Rylands?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (23%). Double chance for Bury or draw is 98%.