Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina
Model pick: Wislanie Skawina (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.58 – 2.2
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Busko-Zdroj | Wislanie Skawina |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Busko-Zdroj shown at home, Wislanie Skawina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Busko-Zdroj — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 83% of home games go over 2.5.
Wislanie Skawina — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Busko-Zdroj (home) | Wislanie Skawina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 57% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.58 vs 2.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (15%) |
| Double chance — Busko-Zdroj or draw (1X) | 25% |
| Double chance — Wislanie Skawina or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Busko-Zdroj clean sheet | 11% |
| Wislanie Skawina clean sheet | 56% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wislanie Skawina is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Despite playing away, Wislanie Skawina edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina — FAQ
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina?
Our statistical model makes Wislanie Skawina the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Busko-Zdroj 11%, draw 20%, Wislanie Skawina 69%.
Will both teams score in Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina?
Expected goals are 0.58 for Busko-Zdroj and 2.2 for Wislanie Skawina — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Busko-Zdroj vs Wislanie Skawina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (15%). Double chance for Busko-Zdroj or draw is 25%.