ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri
Model pick: ÍBV (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ÍBV | Thor Akureyri |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*ÍBV shown at home, Thor Akureyri shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ÍBV — last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Thor Akureyri — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ÍBV (home) | Thor Akureyri (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — ÍBV or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Thor Akureyri or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| ÍBV clean sheet | 39% |
| Thor Akureyri clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ÍBV is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. ÍBV are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri — FAQ
Who will win ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri?
Our statistical model makes ÍBV the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: ÍBV 52%, draw 25%, Thor Akureyri 22%.
Will both teams score in ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri?
Expected goals are 1.72 for ÍBV and 0.93 for Thor Akureyri — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ÍBV vs Thor Akureyri?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for ÍBV or draw is 80%.