Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod
Model pick: Havlickuv Brod (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 4.38
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bystrc | Havlickuv Brod |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Bystrc shown at home, Havlickuv Brod shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bystrc — last 5
LDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Havlickuv Brod — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bystrc (home) | Havlickuv Brod (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 4.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-4 (7%) |
| Double chance — Bystrc or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Havlickuv Brod or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Bystrc clean sheet | 1% |
| Havlickuv Brod clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Havlickuv Brod is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Despite playing away, Havlickuv Brod edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod — FAQ
Who will win Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod?
Our statistical model makes Havlickuv Brod the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Bystrc 8%, draw 10%, Havlickuv Brod 82%.
Will both teams score in Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Bystrc and 4.38 for Havlickuv Brod — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bystrc vs Havlickuv Brod?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-4 (7%). Double chance for Bystrc or draw is 13%.