Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik
Model pick: Bytom Odrzanski (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 0.32
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bytom Odrzanski | ROW Rybnik |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Bytom Odrzanski shown at home, ROW Rybnik shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bytom Odrzanski — last 5
WWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 60% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
ROW Rybnik — last 5
LWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bytom Odrzanski (home) | ROW Rybnik (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 60% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 0.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Bytom Odrzanski or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — ROW Rybnik or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Bytom Odrzanski clean sheet | 73% |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bytom Odrzanski is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Bytom Odrzanski are backed at home, where they average 2.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik — FAQ
Who will win Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik?
Our statistical model makes Bytom Odrzanski the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Bytom Odrzanski 53%, draw 34%, ROW Rybnik 13%.
Will both teams score in Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Bytom Odrzanski and 0.32 for ROW Rybnik — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bytom Odrzanski vs ROW Rybnik?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for Bytom Odrzanski or draw is 89%.