Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow
Model pick: Bytom Odrzanski (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 0.1
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 22%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bytom Odrzanski | Warta Gorzow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Bytom Odrzanski shown at home, Warta Gorzow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bytom Odrzanski — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Warta Gorzow — last 5
LDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bytom Odrzanski (home) | Warta Gorzow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 80% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 0.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (35%) |
| Double chance — Bytom Odrzanski or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Warta Gorzow or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Bytom Odrzanski clean sheet | 90% |
| Warta Gorzow clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bytom Odrzanski is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Bytom Odrzanski are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (78% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow — FAQ
Who will win Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow?
Our statistical model makes Bytom Odrzanski the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Bytom Odrzanski 56%, draw 39%, Warta Gorzow 5%.
Will both teams score in Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Bytom Odrzanski and 0.1 for Warta Gorzow — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (35%). Double chance for Bytom Odrzanski or draw is 96%.