Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Colombia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 21:05 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COLOMBIA)
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto
Model pick: Cúcuta Deportivo (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cúcuta Deportivo | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|
| League position | #19 (16 pts) | #7 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
*Cúcuta Deportivo shown at home, Deportivo Pasto shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cúcuta Deportivo — last 5
DLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Pasto — last 5
LLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cúcuta Deportivo (home) | Deportivo Pasto (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 37% |
| Top scorer | Jaime Peralta (5) | Andrey Estupinan Quinones (13) |
Primera Division (Colombia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.27
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Primera Division (Colombia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Pasto or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet | 31% |
| Deportivo Pasto clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cúcuta Deportivo is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Cúcuta Deportivo are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto — FAQ
Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our statistical model makes Cúcuta Deportivo the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Cúcuta Deportivo 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 33%.
Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Cúcuta Deportivo and 1.18 for Deportivo Pasto — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Cúcuta Deportivo or draw is 67%.