Córdoba vs Granada Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 19:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
Córdoba vs Granada
Model pick: Córdoba (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.38
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Córdoba | Granada |
|---|
| League position | #10 (3 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
*Córdoba shown at home, Granada shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Córdoba — last 5
DWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Granada — last 5
WLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Córdoba (home) | Granada (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Ruben Alcaraz (1) |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Córdoba or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Granada or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Córdoba clean sheet | 25% |
| Granada clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Córdoba is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Córdoba are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Córdoba vs Granada — FAQ
Who will win Córdoba vs Granada?
Our statistical model makes Córdoba the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Córdoba 48%, draw 27%, Granada 26%.
Will both teams score in Córdoba vs Granada?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Córdoba vs Granada?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Córdoba and 1.38 for Granada — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Córdoba vs Granada?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Córdoba or draw is 66%.