CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes
Model pick: CA Mitre (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.96 – 0.26
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CA Mitre | Club A. Guemes |
|---|
| League position | #11 (28 pts) | #18 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 42% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
*CA Mitre shown at home, Club A. Guemes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CA Mitre — last 5
LWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Club A. Guemes — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CA Mitre (home) | Club A. Guemes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-4 in 12 (1.2 / 1.1 goals per game) | 1-2-8 in 11 (0.8 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.13
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.96 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — CA Mitre or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Club A. Guemes or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| CA Mitre clean sheet | 77% |
| Club A. Guemes clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CA Mitre is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. CA Mitre are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes — FAQ
Who will win CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes?
Our statistical model makes CA Mitre the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: CA Mitre 93%, draw 6%, Club A. Guemes 1%.
Will both teams score in CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes?
Expected goals are 3.96 for CA Mitre and 0.26 for Club A. Guemes — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CA Mitre vs Club A. Guemes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (16%). Double chance for CA Mitre or draw is 99%.