Cadca vs Kalinovo Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Cadca vs Kalinovo
Model pick: Cadca (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.51
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cadca | Kalinovo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.75 |
*Cadca shown at home, Kalinovo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cadca — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kalinovo — last 5
WLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cadca (home) | Kalinovo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 59%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 1.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Cadca or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Kalinovo or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Cadca clean sheet | 22% |
| Kalinovo clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cadca is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Cadca are backed at home, where they average 6.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cadca vs Kalinovo — FAQ
Who will win Cadca vs Kalinovo?
Our statistical model makes Cadca the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Cadca 41%, draw 25%, Kalinovo 34%.
Will both teams score in Cadca vs Kalinovo?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cadca vs Kalinovo?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Cadca and 1.51 for Kalinovo — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cadca vs Kalinovo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Cadca or draw is 66%.