Cardassar vs Santanyí Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Cardassar vs Santanyí
Model pick: Cardassar (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.19
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cardassar | Santanyí |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Cardassar shown at home, Santanyí shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cardassar — last 5
LDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Santanyí — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cardassar (home) | Santanyí (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 48% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Cardassar or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Santanyí or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Cardassar clean sheet | 30% |
| Santanyí clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cardassar is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Cardassar are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cardassar vs Santanyí — FAQ
Who will win Cardassar vs Santanyí?
Our statistical model makes Cardassar the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Cardassar 40%, draw 27%, Santanyí 33%.
Will both teams score in Cardassar vs Santanyí?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cardassar vs Santanyí?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Cardassar and 1.19 for Santanyí — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cardassar vs Santanyí?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Cardassar or draw is 68%.