Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt
Model pick: Carl Zeiss Jena (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 0.65
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Erfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Carl Zeiss Jena shown at home, Erfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Carl Zeiss Jena — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Erfurt — last 5
LWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Carl Zeiss Jena (home) | Erfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 0.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Carl Zeiss Jena or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Erfurt or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Carl Zeiss Jena clean sheet | 52% |
| Erfurt clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carl Zeiss Jena is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Carl Zeiss Jena are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt — FAQ
Who will win Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt?
Our statistical model makes Carl Zeiss Jena the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Carl Zeiss Jena 41%, draw 34%, Erfurt 25%.
Will both teams score in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.65 for Erfurt — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (19%). Double chance for Carl Zeiss Jena or draw is 77%.