Carshalton vs Brentwood Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Carshalton vs Brentwood
Model pick: Carshalton (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.55
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Carshalton | Brentwood |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Carshalton shown at home, Brentwood shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Carshalton — last 5
DWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Brentwood — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Carshalton (home) | Brentwood (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 0.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Carshalton or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Brentwood or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Carshalton clean sheet | 58% |
| Brentwood clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carshalton is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Carshalton are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Carshalton vs Brentwood — FAQ
Who will win Carshalton vs Brentwood?
Our statistical model makes Carshalton the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Carshalton 61%, draw 25%, Brentwood 14%.
Will both teams score in Carshalton vs Brentwood?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Carshalton vs Brentwood?
Expected goals are 1.7 for Carshalton and 0.55 for Brentwood — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Carshalton vs Brentwood?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Carshalton or draw is 88%.