Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers
Model pick: Draw (78%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 0.08
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Carshalton | Cray Wanderers |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
*Carshalton shown at home, Cray Wanderers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Carshalton — last 5
LLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Cray Wanderers — last 5
D
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Carshalton (home) | Cray Wanderers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 0.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (82%) |
| Double chance — Carshalton or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Cray Wanderers or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 17% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Carshalton clean sheet | 92% |
| Cray Wanderers clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers — FAQ
Who will win Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Carshalton 14%, draw 78%, Cray Wanderers 9%.
Will both teams score in Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Carshalton and 0.08 for Cray Wanderers — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Carshalton vs Cray Wanderers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (82%). Double chance for Carshalton or draw is 93%.