Cartaginés vs Sporting San José Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 02:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Cartaginés vs Sporting San José
Model pick: Cartaginés (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cartaginés | Sporting San José |
|---|
| League position | #4 (3 pts) | #6 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
*Cartaginés shown at home, Sporting San José shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cartaginés — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Sporting San José — last 5
LDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cartaginés (home) | Sporting San José (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 52% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Cartaginés or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Sporting San José or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Cartaginés clean sheet | 44% |
| Sporting San José clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cartaginés is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Cartaginés are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cartaginés vs Sporting San José — FAQ
Who will win Cartaginés vs Sporting San José?
Our statistical model makes Cartaginés the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Cartaginés 50%, draw 28%, Sporting San José 23%.
Will both teams score in Cartaginés vs Sporting San José?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cartaginés vs Sporting San José?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Cartaginés and 0.83 for Sporting San José — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cartaginés vs Sporting San José?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Cartaginés or draw is 79%.