Casertana vs Scafatese Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Casertana vs Scafatese
Model pick: Casertana (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.27 – 1.16
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Casertana | Scafatese |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Casertana shown at home, Scafatese shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Casertana — last 5
LDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Scafatese — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Casertana (home) | Scafatese (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 80% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.27 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Casertana or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Scafatese or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Casertana clean sheet | 31% |
| Scafatese clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Casertana is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Casertana are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Casertana vs Scafatese — FAQ
Who will win Casertana vs Scafatese?
Our statistical model makes Casertana the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Casertana 72%, draw 15%, Scafatese 12%.
Will both teams score in Casertana vs Scafatese?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Casertana vs Scafatese?
Expected goals are 3.27 for Casertana and 1.16 for Scafatese — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Casertana vs Scafatese?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Casertana or draw is 90%.