Castkovce vs Sala Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Castkovce vs Sala
Model pick: Castkovce (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.44 – 1.62
Total goals: 8.1
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Castkovce | Sala |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Castkovce shown at home, Sala shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Castkovce — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Sala — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Castkovce (home) | Sala (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.48
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.44 vs 1.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — Castkovce or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Sala or draw (X2) | 7% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Castkovce clean sheet | 20% |
| Sala clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Castkovce is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Castkovce are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.1, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Castkovce vs Sala — FAQ
Who will win Castkovce vs Sala?
Our statistical model makes Castkovce the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Castkovce 90%, draw 6%, Sala 4%.
Will both teams score in Castkovce vs Sala?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Castkovce vs Sala?
Expected goals are 6.44 for Castkovce and 1.62 for Sala — about 8.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Castkovce vs Sala?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-1 (6%). Double chance for Castkovce or draw is 97%.