CD Bunol vs Atzeneta Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
CD Bunol vs Atzeneta
Model pick: CD Bunol (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 0.85
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CD Bunol | Atzeneta |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*CD Bunol shown at home, Atzeneta shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CD Bunol — last 5
DWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 65% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Atzeneta — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 31% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CD Bunol (home) | Atzeneta (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 65% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 24% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 31% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — CD Bunol or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Atzeneta or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| CD Bunol clean sheet | 43% |
| Atzeneta clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CD Bunol is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. CD Bunol are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CD Bunol vs Atzeneta — FAQ
Who will win CD Bunol vs Atzeneta?
Our statistical model makes CD Bunol the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: CD Bunol 37%, draw 32%, Atzeneta 30%.
Will both teams score in CD Bunol vs Atzeneta?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in CD Bunol vs Atzeneta?
Expected goals are 0.99 for CD Bunol and 0.85 for Atzeneta — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CD Bunol vs Atzeneta?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (16%). Double chance for CD Bunol or draw is 70%.