CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II
Model pick: CDJ Tamarite (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CDJ Tamarite | Real Zaragoza II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
*CDJ Tamarite shown at home, Real Zaragoza II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CDJ Tamarite — last 5
DLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Real Zaragoza II — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CDJ Tamarite (home) | Real Zaragoza II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 45% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — CDJ Tamarite or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Real Zaragoza II or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| CDJ Tamarite clean sheet | 29% |
| Real Zaragoza II clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CDJ Tamarite is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. CDJ Tamarite are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II — FAQ
Who will win CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II?
Our statistical model makes CDJ Tamarite the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: CDJ Tamarite 39%, draw 27%, Real Zaragoza II 34%.
Will both teams score in CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II?
Expected goals are 1.4 for CDJ Tamarite and 1.25 for Real Zaragoza II — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CDJ Tamarite vs Real Zaragoza II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for CDJ Tamarite or draw is 66%.