Celje vs Radomlje Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Celje vs Radomlje
Model pick: Celje (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.64 – 0.94
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Celje | Radomlje |
|---|
| League position | #13 (10 pts) | #9 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Celje shown at home, Radomlje shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Celje — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Radomlje — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Celje (home) | Radomlje (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.7 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 50% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 53%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.64 vs 0.94):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Celje or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Radomlje or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Celje clean sheet | 39% |
| Radomlje clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Celje is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Celje are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Celje vs Radomlje — FAQ
Who will win Celje vs Radomlje?
Our statistical model makes Celje the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Celje 66%, draw 19%, Radomlje 15%.
Will both teams score in Celje vs Radomlje?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Celje vs Radomlje?
Expected goals are 2.64 for Celje and 0.94 for Radomlje — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs Radomlje?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Celje or draw is 89%.