Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra
Model pick: Draw (77%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 0.09
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 11%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Celta de Vigo II | FC Andorra |
|---|
| League position | #12 (1 pts) | #1 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Celta de Vigo II shown at home, FC Andorra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Celta de Vigo II — last 5
DWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Andorra — last 5
DDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Celta de Vigo II (home) | FC Andorra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 41% |
| Top scorer | Gorka Carrera (13) | – |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 0.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (81%) |
| Double chance — Celta de Vigo II or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — FC Andorra or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 18% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Celta de Vigo II clean sheet | 91% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra — FAQ
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Celta de Vigo II 13%, draw 77%, FC Andorra 10%.
Will both teams score in Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
The model gives a 11% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Celta de Vigo II and 0.09 for FC Andorra — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Celta de Vigo II vs FC Andorra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (81%). Double chance for Celta de Vigo II or draw is 92%.