Celtic vs Aberdeen Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Scotland) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Celtic vs Aberdeen
Model pick: Celtic (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.77 – 0.69
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Celtic | Aberdeen |
|---|
| League position | #21 (11 pts) | #35 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
*Celtic shown at home, Aberdeen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Celtic — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 55% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Aberdeen — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Celtic (home) | Aberdeen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-2 in 4 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 55% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 47% |
Premier League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Premier League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.77 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Celtic or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Aberdeen or draw (X2) | 19% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 50% |
| Aberdeen clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Celtic is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Celtic are backed at home, where they average 2.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Celtic vs Aberdeen — FAQ
Who will win Celtic vs Aberdeen?
Our statistical model makes Celtic the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Celtic 75%, draw 16%, Aberdeen 10%.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Aberdeen?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Celtic vs Aberdeen?
Expected goals are 2.77 for Celtic and 0.69 for Aberdeen — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Aberdeen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (12%). Double chance for Celtic or draw is 93%.