Celtic vs Dundee Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Scotland) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Celtic vs Dundee
Model pick: Celtic (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.42 – 0.73
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Celtic | Dundee |
|---|
| League position | #21 (11 pts) | #8 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 1.6 |
*Celtic shown at home, Dundee shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Celtic — last 5
WDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 54% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Dundee — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Celtic (home) | Dundee (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-2 in 4 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 54% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 51% |
| Top scorer | – | Simon Murray (7) |
Premier League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Premier League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.42 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Celtic or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Dundee or draw (X2) | 13% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 48% |
| Dundee clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Celtic is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Celtic are backed at home, where they average 2.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Celtic vs Dundee — FAQ
Who will win Celtic vs Dundee?
Our statistical model makes Celtic the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Celtic 79%, draw 13%, Dundee 8%.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Dundee?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Celtic vs Dundee?
Expected goals are 3.42 for Celtic and 0.73 for Dundee — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Dundee?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (11%). Double chance for Celtic or draw is 96%.