Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II
Model pick: Cerdanyola del Vallès (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.23
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | Europa II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Cerdanyola del Vallès shown at home, Europa II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cerdanyola del Vallès — last 5
LDDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Europa II — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cerdanyola del Vallès (home) | Europa II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 62% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Cerdanyola del Vallès or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Europa II or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Cerdanyola del Vallès clean sheet | 29% |
| Europa II clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cerdanyola del Vallès is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Cerdanyola del Vallès are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II — FAQ
Who will win Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II?
Our statistical model makes Cerdanyola del Vallès the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Cerdanyola del Vallès 46%, draw 25%, Europa II 29%.
Will both teams score in Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Cerdanyola del Vallès and 1.23 for Europa II — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Europa II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Cerdanyola del Vallès or draw is 72%.