CFR Cluj vs FCSB Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
CFR Cluj vs FCSB
Model pick: CFR Cluj (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.64 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CFR Cluj | FCSB |
|---|
| League position | #14 (3 pts) | #27 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 0.0 | 0.8 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*CFR Cluj shown at home, FCSB shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CFR Cluj — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
FCSB — last 5
LWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CFR Cluj (home) | FCSB (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-3 in 4 (0.8 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Jovo Lukic (18) | – |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.64 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — CFR Cluj or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — FCSB or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| CFR Cluj clean sheet | 32% |
| FCSB clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CFR Cluj is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. CFR Cluj are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CFR Cluj vs FCSB — FAQ
Who will win CFR Cluj vs FCSB?
Our statistical model makes CFR Cluj the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: CFR Cluj 46%, draw 26%, FCSB 28%.
Will both teams score in CFR Cluj vs FCSB?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in CFR Cluj vs FCSB?
Expected goals are 1.64 for CFR Cluj and 1.15 for FCSB — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CFR Cluj vs FCSB?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for CFR Cluj or draw is 73%.